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High Impact
Algorithm: Medium
Emotional Prediction
Impact Bias
"When this happens, I'll be permanently happy/devastated. My emotional state will never recover/improve."
What is Impact Bias?

Overestimating the intensity or duration of emotional reactions to future events.

Real-World Impact

Leads to poor decision-making about future commitments, overinvestment in single outcomes, and inadequate emotional preparation.

Fun Fact

People consistently overestimate both how good they'll feel about positive events and how bad they'll feel about negative ones, and how long these feelings will last.

Random Insight

"Breaking news: Local human discovers they're not as rational as they thought. Water is wet."